Where the market is wrong on Vietnam v Pakistan
Vietnam meet Pakistan in the FIFA Asean Cup division 1 - 3 at Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium, Jakarta.
Vietnam rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1799 to 1400. Recent form leans Vietnam, 90% against 30%. Attacking output favors Vietnam on expected goals, 2.6 to 0.8 per match.
Vietnam arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Pakistan, L 0-2 @ Thailand, W 1-0 v Philippines, D 2-2 v Thailand.
Pakistan are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Vietnam, D 2-2 @ Philippines, L 0-4 v Thailand, W 2-0 v Afghanistan.
The market prices VIE at 84% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
