Karpaty v Oleksandria: the model read
Karpaty meet Oleksandria in the Cup round of 16 at Ukraina Stadium, Lviv.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 66%. Attacking output favors Karpaty on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Karpaty arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Veres Rivne, W 3-2 @ Kolos Kovalivka, W 2-0 @ Kolos Kovalivka, L 1-2 v Shakhtar Donetsk.
Oleksandria are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Yarud Mariupol', L 0-1 @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk, W 1-0 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka, D 1-1 @ Probiy Horodenka.
Oleksandria hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Karpaty 2-0 Oleksandria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
