Where the market is wrong on 1. FC Nürnberg v FC Ingolstadt 04
1. FC Nürnberg meet FC Ingolstadt 04 in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg.
1. FC Nürnberg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1489. Recent form leans 1. FC Nürnberg, 78% against 45%. Attacking output favors 1. FC Nürnberg on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.4 per match.
1. FC Nürnberg arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v FC Ingolstadt 04, W 1-0 @ Karlsruher SC, W 2-1 v Hannover 96, D 2-2 @ Holstein Kiel.
FC Ingolstadt 04 are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ 1. FC Nürnberg, L 0-3 @ FC Viktoria Köln, L 1-2 v Hoffenheim II, W 1-0 @ FC Saarbrücken.
FC Ingolstadt 04 hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04.
The market prices 1. at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Ingolstadt 04: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
