Where the market is wrong on Albion FC v Juventud
Albion FC meet Juventud in the Primera División clausura - 7 at Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo.
Juventud rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1420. Recent form leans Juventud, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Juventud on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Albion FC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Juventud, D 0-0 v CA River Plate, L 1-3 @ Penarol, L 0-1 v Progreso.
Juventud are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Albion FC, W 3-0 v Racing Montevideo, D 1-1 v Danubio, D 2-2 @ Club Nacional.
Albion FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Albion FC 1-3 Juventud.
The market prices ALB at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Juventud: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
