Where the market is wrong on Vietnam W v Japan W
Vietnam W meet Japan W in the Asian Games Women group stage - 2 at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka.
Japan W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1500. Recent form leans Japan W, 73% against 45%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 3.1 to 2.1 per match.
Vietnam W arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-8 v Japan W, L 1-2 @ Chinese Taipei W, L 0-3 @ China W, L 0-4 @ Japan W.
Japan W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 21 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 8-0 @ Vietnam W, W 8-0 v Thailand W, L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W.
The market prices VIE at 2% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 17.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
