Where the market is wrong on Sudan U20 v Uganda U20
Sudan U20 meet Uganda U20 in the CECAFA U20 Championship group stage - 3.
Uganda U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1420. Recent form leans Uganda U20, 68% against 35%. Attacking output favors Uganda U20 on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Sudan U20 arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Uganda U20, W 3-0 @ Djibouti U20, L 0-4 v Kenya U20, L 0-1 @ Tanzania U20.
Uganda U20 are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Sudan U20, W 4-1 v Djibouti U20, W 3-1 v Burundi U20, L 1-2 v Tanzania U20.
Uganda U20 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sudan U20 0-1 Uganda U20.
The market prices SUD at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Uganda U20: a 11.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
