Where the market is wrong on Buenos Aires City v Defensores Glew
Buenos Aires City meet Defensores Glew in the Torneo Promocional Amateur quarter-finals.
Defensores Glew rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1528. Recent form leans Defensores Glew, 75% against 53%. Attacking output favors Defensores Glew on expected goals, 2.7 to 1.1 per match.
Buenos Aires City arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Defensores Glew, L 0-1 @ Ezeiza, W 1-0 v Barrancas UMET, D 1-1 @ Control Orientado.
Defensores Glew are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Buenos Aires City, W 3-1 v Nautico Hacoaj, W 2-0 @ Atletico Pilar, W 4-0 @ Provincial.
The market prices BUE at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Defensores Glew: a 7.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output