Where the market is wrong on Cray Wanderers v Maidstone Utd
Cray Wanderers meet Maidstone Utd in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Maidstone Utd, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors Maidstone Utd on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.0 per match.
Cray Wanderers arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Maidstone Utd, D 1-1 v Maidstone Utd, D 3-3 v St Albans City, L 2-3 @ Enfield Town.
Maidstone Utd are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Cray Wanderers, D 1-1 @ Cray Wanderers, L 1-2 @ Braintree, W 1-0 @ Tonbridge Angels.
Cray Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maidstone Utd 0-2 Cray Wanderers.
The market prices CRA at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on Cray Wanderers: a 12.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
