Where the market is wrong on Redditch United v Evesham United
Redditch United meet Evesham United in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Redditch United, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors Redditch United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Redditch United arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Racing Club Warwick, W 3-0 v Evesham United, L 1-2 @ Real Bedford, W 4-0 v Malvern Town.
Evesham United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Redditch United, D 0-0 v Berkhamsted, W 3-0 @ Belper Town, W 2-1 @ Gloucester City.
Redditch United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Redditch United 3-0 Evesham United.
The market prices RED at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
