Where the market is wrong on Redcar Athletic v Macclesfield
Redcar Athletic meet Macclesfield in the FA Cup 2nd round qualifying.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 70%. Attacking output favors Redcar Athletic on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Redcar Athletic arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cleethorpes Town, L 1-2 v Macclesfield, W 3-2 v Leek Town, W 1-0 v Stocksbridge Park Steels.
Macclesfield are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Redcar Athletic, D 1-1 @ Spennymoor Town, D 0-0 v Scarborough Athletic, L 1-2 @ Merthyr Town.
Macclesfield hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Redcar Athletic 1-2 Macclesfield.
The market prices RED at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Redcar Athletic: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
