Where the market is wrong on Keflavik v Fram Reykjavik
Keflavik meet Fram Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild championship group - 2.
Fram Reykjavik rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1477. Recent form leans Fram Reykjavik, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors Fram Reykjavik on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Keflavik arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Fram Reykjavik, L 1-4 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, L 1-2 v Valur Reykjavik, L 1-2 @ FH hafnarfjordur.
Fram Reykjavik are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Keflavik, L 1-3 v Breidablik, D 2-2 @ Vikingur Reykjavik, D 2-2 v KA Akureyri.
The market prices KEF at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
