Where the market is wrong on IA Akranes v Breidablik
IA Akranes meet Breidablik in the Úrvalsdeild championship group - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Breidablik on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
IA Akranes arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Breidablik, L 1-5 @ KR Reykjavik, W 3-1 v KR Reykjavik, D 2-2 @ Valur Reykjavik.
Breidablik are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ IA Akranes, W 3-1 @ Fram Reykjavik, W 2-1 @ Afturelding, L 1-2 @ KA Akureyri.
Breidablik hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IA Akranes 4-1 Breidablik.
The market prices IA at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Breidablik: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
