Where the market is wrong on AS Gabes v Mégrine
AS Gabes meet Mégrine in the Ligue 2 regular season - 1 at Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mégrine, 45% against 20%. Attacking output favors Mégrine on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.5 per match.
AS Gabes arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Mégrine, L 0-1 v Stade Tunisien, L 0-1 @ AS Soliman, L 0-2 v JS Kairouanaise.
Mégrine are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ AS Gabes, D 2-2 @ Bouselem, D 1-1 v BS Bouhajla, D 1-1 @ Sporting Ben Arous.
Mégrine hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AS Gabes 1-2 Mégrine.
The market prices AS at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Mégrine: a 17.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
