Where the market is wrong on SL Benfica W v Bayern Munich W
SL Benfica W meet Bayern Munich W in the UEFA Champions League Women league stage - 2 at Estadio da Tapadinha, Lisbon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1684 to 1776, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bayern Munich W, 88% against 75%. Attacking output favors Bayern Munich W on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.2 per match.
SL Benfica W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Bayern Munich W, W 2-1 @ Juventus W, W 2-0 @ Rio Ave W, W 3-0 v Racing Power W.
Bayern Munich W are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ SL Benfica W, W 2-1 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W, D 2-2 v Manchester City W, W 5-2 v FC Koln W.
Bayern Munich W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SL Benfica W 0-3 Bayern Munich W.
The market prices SL at 9% implied. Our number sits apart on SL Benfica W: a 22.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
