Where the market is wrong on AB Copenhagen v Sonderjyske
AB Copenhagen meet Sonderjyske in the DBU Pokalen round of 32.
AB Copenhagen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans AB Copenhagen, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors AB Copenhagen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
AB Copenhagen arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sonderjyske, L 0-1 @ Hillerød, L 0-2 v Aalborg, L 1-2 @ Kolding IF.
Sonderjyske are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ AB Copenhagen, D 1-1 @ Lyngby, L 2-5 v AC Horsens, W 2-0 @ Thisted FC.
The market prices AB at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on AB Copenhagen: a 24.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
