Where the market is wrong on Motril v Recreativo Huelva
Motril meet Recreativo Huelva in the Copa Federacion round of 32.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Recreativo Huelva on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Motril arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Torre del Mar, L 0-2 v Recreativo Huelva, D 0-0 @ Huétor Vega, D 1-1 v Arenas Armilla.
Recreativo Huelva are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Puente Genil, L 0-3 @ Pozoblanco, W 2-0 @ Motril, L 0-2 @ Atlético Central.
Recreativo Huelva hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Motril 0-2 Recreativo Huelva.
The market prices MOT at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Motril: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
