Alianza v CD Motagua: the model read
Alianza meet CD Motagua in the CONCACAF Central American Cup quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1522 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CD Motagua, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors CD Motagua on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Alianza arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v CD Motagua, L 0-3 @ CD Motagua, D 2-2 @ Águila, W 2-0 v Atletico Balboa.
CD Motagua are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Alianza, W 1-0 v Génesis, W 3-0 v Alianza, D 0-0 @ Atletico Independiente.
CD Motagua hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza 0-0 CD Motagua.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
