Where the market is wrong on Encarnación v Deportivo Capiata
Encarnación meet Deportivo Capiata in the Division Intermedia regular season - 25.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportivo Capiata, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Capiata on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Encarnación arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ SOL DE America, W 3-1 v Deportivo Capiata, L 0-1 @ Independiente F.b.c., D 1-1 v Tacuary.
Deportivo Capiata are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v 12 de Junio VH, L 1-3 @ Encarnación, L 0-1 v Deportivo Santani, L 0-1 @ Fernando De La Mora.
Deportivo Capiata hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Encarnación 3-1 Deportivo Capiata.
The market prices ENC at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Capiata: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
