Where the market is wrong on Al-Nahda v Sohar
Al-Nahda meet Sohar in the FA Cup group stage - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al-Nahda, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Al-Nahda on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Al-Nahda arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ibri, D 1-1 v Saham, D 1-1 v Al Taawon, D 1-1 v Al Seeb.
Sohar are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Al Seeb, D 0-0 v Dhofar, W 1-0 @ Fanja, D 0-0 v Ibri.
Al-Nahda hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Nahda 0-1 Sohar.
The market prices AL- at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
