Where the market is wrong on Cruzeiro W v Corinthians W
Cruzeiro W meet Corinthians W in the Brasileiro Women quarter-finals.
Corinthians W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1686 to 1523. Recent form leans Corinthians W, 74% against 55%. Attacking output favors Corinthians W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Cruzeiro W arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Corinthians W, D 0-0 v Palmeiras W, W 2-1 @ Mixto W, L 0-2 @ Gremio W.
Corinthians W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Cruzeiro W, L 1-3 v Internacional RS W, D 1-1 @ Bahia W, W 4-1 v Santos W.
The market prices CRU at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Cruzeiro W: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
