Juventud v Deportivo Maldonado: the model read
Juventud meet Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División clausura - 4 at Parque Artigas, Las Piedras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Deportivo Maldonado, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Maldonado on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Maldonado at 57%; double chance reads Juventud or draw 61%, Deportivo Maldonado or draw 70%.
Juventud arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Central Espanol, L 0-1 v Atletico Torque, D 1-1 @ Cerro Largo, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maldonado.
Deportivo Maldonado are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Penarol, W 2-0 @ Progreso, D 2-2 v Racing Montevideo, D 0-0 v Juventud.
Juventud hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 Juventud.
The market prices JUV at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Maldonado: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
