Mosul v Diyala: the model read
Mosul meet Diyala in the Iraqi League regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mosul, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Mosul on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Mosul at 57%; double chance reads Mosul or draw 70%, Diyala or draw 61%.
Mosul arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Diyala, D 1-1 @ Al-Karma, D 1-1 @ Newroz, L 0-1 @ Al Minaa Basra.
Diyala are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Mosul, W 2-1 v Al Talaba, W 1-0 v Duhok, L 0-1 @ Al-Karma.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
