Where the market is wrong on Sestri Levante v Biellese
Sestri Levante meet Biellese in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 5 at Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante.
Biellese rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1420. Recent form leans Biellese, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Biellese on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Sestri Levante arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Biellese, D 1-1 @ Lascaris, L 0-3 v Fezzanese, L 1-2 @ Alessandria.
Biellese are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sestri Levante, D 1-1 v Chisola, W 1-0 @ Bra, W 3-1 v Ligorna.
Biellese hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sestri Levante 1-2 Biellese.
The market prices SES at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Biellese: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
