Where the market is wrong on Mantova U19 v Cremonese U19
Mantova U19 meet Cremonese U19 in the Campionato Primavera - 2 regular season - 3.
Cremonese U19 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Cremonese U19, 78% against 33%. Attacking output favors Cremonese U19 on expected goals, 2.5 to 0.3 per match.
Mantova U19 arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-1L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Sudtirol U19, D 0-0 v Sampdoria U19, L 1-3 @ Renate U19.
Cremonese U19 are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Venezia U19, W 4-0 @ Lecco U19, D 1-1 v Cesena U19, W 4-1 v Cittadella U19.
The market prices MAN at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output