Where the market is wrong on Kauno Žalgiris v Beşiktaş
Kauno Žalgiris meet Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League play-offs at Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1573 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 60%. Attacking output favors Beşiktaş on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Banga, W 1-0 v Beşiktaş, L 0-3 @ Beşiktaş, D 1-1 v TransINVEST Vilnius.
Beşiktaş are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 v Çorum FK, L 0-1 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-1 @ Alanyaspor, W 3-0 v Kauno Žalgiris.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş.
The market prices KAU at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Kauno Žalgiris: a 19.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
