Vitoria v Vasco DA Gama: the model read
Vitoria meet Vasco DA Gama in the Copa Do Brasil quarter-finals at Barradao, Salvador.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 47%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Vitoria arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, L 0-2 v Bahia, W 1-0 v Botafogo.
Vasco DA Gama are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Cruzeiro, W 1-0 v Vitoria, L 1-4 @ Palmeiras, W 4-1 @ Olimpia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Vitoria.
The market prices VIT at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Vasco DA Gama: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
