Dongen v JOS Watergraafsmeer: the model read
Dongen meet JOS Watergraafsmeer in the KNVB Beker 1st preliminary round.
Dongen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Dongen, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Dongen on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Dongen at 60%; double chance reads Dongen or draw 71%, JOS Watergraafsmeer or draw 57%.
Dongen arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.
JOS Watergraafsmeer are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v NEO, L 0-3 @ NEO, D 2-2 v Excelsior '31, L 0-1 @ Excelsior '31.
JOS Watergraafsmeer hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: JOS Watergraafsmeer 0-3 Dongen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
