Where the market is wrong on Ironi Nesher v Beitar Nahariya
Ironi Nesher meet Beitar Nahariya in the Liga Alef north - 5 at Nesher Stadium, Nesher.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1662, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 71% against 68%. Attacking output favors Ironi Nesher on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.
Ironi Nesher arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 18 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Beitar Nahariya, D 1-1 @ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, W 5-1 v Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, W 2-0 @ Ironi Baka El Garbiya.
Beitar Nahariya are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Ironi Nesher, W 3-0 v Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, W 2-1 @ Hapoel Bnei Musmus, W 2-0 v Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt.
Ironi Nesher hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ironi Nesher 4-1 Beitar Nahariya.
The market prices IRO at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Ironi Nesher: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 75 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output