Hollandia v Sportlust '46: the model read
Hollandia meet Sportlust '46 in the Derde Divisie regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 36% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sportlust '46 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 62%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Sportlust '46 at 55%; double chance reads Hollandia or draw 61%, Sportlust '46 or draw 68%.
Hollandia arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v ACV, L 1-2 @ Harkemase Boys, W 2-0 v HBC, W 1-0 @ HBC.
Sportlust '46 are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Purmersteijn, D 3-3 @ Sparta Nijkerk, L 1-4 @ Harkemase Boys, L 0-2 v Sparta Nijkerk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
