Alfaro v Yagüe: the model read
Alfaro meet Yagüe in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 group 16 - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 33%. Attacking output favors Yagüe on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Alfaro arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Yagüe, D 2-2 @ Calasancio, L 0-2 @ Real Unión, L 0-1 v SD Logroñés.
Yagüe are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Alfaro, L 1-2 v Berceo, D 4-4 v Calahorra, L 0-2 @ Berceo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
