Where the market is wrong on Vilassar Mar v Badalona
Vilassar Mar meet Badalona in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 group 5 - 3.
Badalona rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1408. Recent form leans Badalona, 57% against 38%. Attacking output favors Badalona on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Vilassar Mar arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Badalona, L 1-2 @ San Juan Atletico de Montcada, W 1-0 v Pobla Mafumet, L 0-2 v Espanyol II.
Badalona are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Vilassar Mar, L 0-1 v Montañesa, L 1-2 @ Martinenc, W 3-0 v Cornellà.
Badalona hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vilassar Mar 0-2 Badalona.
The market prices VIL at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
