Where the market is wrong on Ghazl El Mehalla v Enppi
Ghazl El Mehalla meet Enppi in the Premier League regular season - 3 at El-Gazel Stadium, El Mahalla El Kubra.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Enppi on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Ghazl El Mehalla arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Enppi, L 0-2 @ Future FC, L 0-3 v Pyramids FC, W 4-2 v Haras El Hodood.
Enppi are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ghazl El Mehalla, L 1-3 v Wadi Degla, L 2-3 @ Al Ahly, L 0-3 v AL Masry.
The market prices GHA at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Enppi: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 72 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
