Where the market is wrong on Abu Qair Semad v National Bank of Egypt
Abu Qair Semad meet National Bank of Egypt in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Abu Qair Semad, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors National Bank of Egypt on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Abu Qair Semad at 55%; double chance reads Abu Qair Semad or draw 71%, National Bank of Egypt or draw 63%.
Abu Qair Semad arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v National Bank of Egypt, W 4-0 v Raya Ghazl, D 0-0 @ Tersana, W 1-0 v La Viena FC.
National Bank of Egypt are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Abu Qair Semad, D 2-2 v Al Ittihad, W 1-0 @ Pharco, D 1-1 v El Gouna FC.
Abu Qair Semad hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Abu Qair Semad 1-0 National Bank of Egypt.
The market prices ABU at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Abu Qair Semad: a 13.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
