Where the market is wrong on Torpedo Kutaisi v Dinamo Batumi
Torpedo Kutaisi meet Dinamo Batumi in the David Kipiani Cup quarter-finals at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia, Kutaisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dinamo Batumi, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Dinamo Batumi on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Dinamo Batumi at 56%; double chance reads Torpedo Kutaisi or draw 60%, Dinamo Batumi or draw 68%.
Torpedo Kutaisi arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Dinamo Batumi, D 2-2 @ Dila, W 4-3 v FC Iberia 1999, L 0-1 @ Rustavi.
Dinamo Batumi are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 @ Torpedo Kutaisi, W 1-0 @ Meshakhte, W 4-0 @ Samgurali, D 2-2 v Gagra.
Torpedo Kutaisi hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torpedo Kutaisi 2-4 Dinamo Batumi.
The market prices TOR at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Dinamo Batumi: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
