Where the market is wrong on Latina v Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Latina meet Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 5 at Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 42%. Attacking output favors Latina on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Latina arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Guidonia Montecelio 1937, L 1-3 @ Gubbio, W 4-1 @ Grosseto, W 2-0 v Forli.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Latina, D 1-1 v Reggiana, W 1-0 v Pianese, L 1-2 @ Atalanta II.
Latina hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Latina 1-1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
The market prices LAT at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Guidonia Montecelio 1937: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
