Alcochetense v Portel: the model read
Alcochetense meet Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 2.
Alcochetense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Alcochetense, 57% against 20%. Attacking output favors Alcochetense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Alcochetense at 72%; double chance reads Alcochetense or draw 80%, Portel or draw 47%.
Alcochetense arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Portel, L 2-3 @ Juventude Évora, W 2-1 @ Lagoa, D 1-1 v Oriental Lisboa.
Portel are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Alcochetense, D 2-2 v Sintrense, L 0-3 @ FC Serpa, L 0-1 @ Moura.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Alcochetense 2-2 Portel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output