Fazendense v AD Nogueirense: the model read
Fazendense meet AD Nogueirense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C group c - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AD Nogueirense, 20% against 10%. Attacking output favors Fazendense on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans AD Nogueirense at 54%; double chance reads Fazendense or draw 63%, AD Nogueirense or draw 69%.
Fazendense arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v AD Nogueirense, L 1-2 v Mirandela, L 0-1 @ Sintrense, L 0-2 v 1º Dezembro.
AD Nogueirense are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Fazendense, D 1-1 v Sertanense, L 0-2 @ Sanjoanense, L 0-1 v Gafanha.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Fazendense 3-3 AD Nogueirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output