Villa Nova v Aymorés: the model read
Villa Nova meet Aymorés in the Mineiro - 2 semi-finals. The model makes Aymorés the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% VIL, 32% draw, 41% AYM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aymorés, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Villa Nova on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 33%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Aymorés at 60%; double chance reads Villa Nova or draw 59%, Aymorés or draw 73%.
Villa Nova arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Valeriodoce, D 1-1 v Valeriodoce, L 0-1 @ Valeriodoce, D 1-1 v Aymorés.
Aymorés are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ BOA, W 2-0 v BOA, D 2-2 v Democrata SL, D 1-1 @ Villa Nova.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villa Nova 1-1 Aymorés.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
