Marine v Warrington Town

Marine meet Warrington Town in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Marine the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% MAR, 30% draw, 29% WAR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Marine, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Marine on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Marine at 59%; double chance reads Marine or draw 71%, Warrington Town or draw 59%.

Marine arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Preston, W 1-0 @ Prescot Cables, W 2-0 v Colwyn Bay, D 1-1 @ Spennymoor Town.

Warrington Town are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Southport, D 2-2 v Macclesfield, L 0-2 v Chester, L 0-2 @ Morpeth Town.

Marine hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Marine 1-0 Warrington Town.

The market prices MAR at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Warrington Town: a 8.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.