Where the market is wrong on OFK Beograd v Gaziantep FK
OFK Beograd meet Gaziantep FK in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes OFK Beograd the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% OFK, 31% draw, 33% GAZ.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans OFK Beograd, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors Gaziantep FK on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans OFK Beograd at 52%; double chance reads OFK Beograd or draw 67%, Gaziantep FK or draw 64%.
OFK Beograd arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Radnik Surdulica, L 0-4 @ Vojvodina, L 0-2 v Buducnost Podgorica, L 0-1 v OFK Vršac.
Gaziantep FK are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ FK Vozdovac, L 1-2 v Başakşehir, L 1-2 @ Göztepe, L 0-2 v Beşiktaş.
The market prices OFK at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on OFK Beograd: a 19.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
