Stenhousemuir v Motherwell: the model read
Stenhousemuir meet Motherwell in the League Cup round of 16 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. The model makes Stenhousemuir the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% STE, 31% draw, 28% MOT.
Stenhousemuir rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1500. Recent form leans Stenhousemuir, 70% against 48%. Attacking output favors Motherwell on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Stenhousemuir at 60%; double chance reads Stenhousemuir or draw 72%, Motherwell or draw 59%.
Stenhousemuir arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Livingston, D 2-2 @ Partick, W 2-1 @ Brechin, W 2-0 v Forfar Athletic.
Motherwell are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v HB Torshavn, L 3-4 v Genk, L 0-4 @ Aarhus, W 1-0 @ Hibernian.
Motherwell hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Stenhousemuir 0-1 Motherwell.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
