Guria v Aragvi Dusheti: the model read
Guria meet Aragvi Dusheti in the David Kipiani Cup round of 16. The model makes Guria the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% GUR, 27% draw, 22% ARA.
Guria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1523. Recent form leans Guria, 73% against 53%. Attacking output favors Guria on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Guria at 70%; double chance reads Guria or draw 78%, Aragvi Dusheti or draw 49%.
Guria arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dinamo Tbilisi, W 6-1 v Merani Tbilisi, W 2-1 @ Didube 2014, W 5-2 v Iveria Khashuri.
Aragvi Dusheti are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Kolkheti Poti, W 4-3 v FC Urartu, W 2-0 @ Zooveti, L 0-1 @ Telavi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
