Calcutta Police defeated Wari 3-1 in the Calcutta Premier Division, a result decided by clinical finishing in the second half. The visitors scored three times from their opportunities while Wari could only manage one goal, despite the Lemeister model giving the home side a 38% chance of victory compared to Calcutta Police's 30%. The away side outperformed their pre-match projection through efficient attacking play.
The scoring began in the 24th minute when S. S. Rahman put Calcutta Police ahead with a normal goal. Wari responded after the interval through A. Mondal, who equalised in the 66th minute. Parity lasted only eleven minutes before S. S. Rahman struck again in the 77th minute to restore the visitors' lead. M. Taibur added a third in the 89th minute to seal the victory, giving Calcutta Police a two-goal margin that reflected their superior finishing across the match.
Without match-level statistics such as possession, shots, or expected goals provided in the data, the analysis must focus on the goal distribution and disciplinary record. The run of scoring three goals in the final 24 minutes after a tight first hour suggests Calcutta Police grew in authority as the match progressed. Wari's equaliser came midway through the second half but they could not sustain that momentum, conceding twice in the final 13 minutes of regulation time. The absence of any cards indicates a disciplined contest, with neither side resorting to the fouls that often disrupt rhythm in regional fixtures.
The individual contributions are clear from the goal scorers. S. S. Rahman's double was the decisive factor, his two strikes either side of Wari's equaliser effectively decided the contest. M. Taibur's late goal added insurance and confirmed the two-goal margin. For Wari, A. Mondal provided the moment of hope with his 66th-minute goal, but it proved insufficient as they could not hold the lead or find a second equaliser. The value of S. S. Rahman's performance cannot be overstated, as without a supporting cast of named players on either side, his brace stands as the defining individual output of the match.
The lack of substitutions used by either side points to a settled starting XI from both managers. The complete absence of cards also suggests the match was played in good spirit, without the tactical fouling or cynical challenges that often interrupt these regional fixtures. There is no statistical evidence of one team dominating territory or chances, but the scoreline is clear: Calcutta Police took their opportunities, Wari did not. The visitors' efficiency in front of goal proved the difference in a contest where both sides had periods of control.
In the context of the Calcutta Premier Division regular season, this result will be significant for both sides. Calcutta Police's three points on the road strengthen their position in the table, while Wari will rue a missed opportunity to capitalise on home advantage. The Lemeister model's pre-match read had slightly favoured Wari, but the away side's superior finishing proved the difference, with S. S. Rahman's double and M. Taibur's late strike ensuring a comfortable margin on the day. The visitors demonstrated composure in the final third that Wari ultimately lacked, a factor that often decides matches at this level.