Persebaya Surabaya v PSMS Medan: the model read
Persebaya Surabaya meet PSMS Medan in the Piala Presiden group stage - 2. The model makes Persebaya Surabaya the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% PER, 29% draw, 26% PSM.
Persebaya Surabaya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1466. Recent form leans Persebaya Surabaya, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Persebaya Surabaya on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Persebaya Surabaya at 63%; double chance reads Persebaya Surabaya or draw 74%, PSMS Medan or draw 55%.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 15 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Persija, D 2-2 v PSIS Semarang, W 5-0 v Persik Kediri, W 7-0 @ Semen Padang.
PSMS Medan are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Port FC, D 1-1 @ Persiraja Banda Aceh, D 1-1 v Adhyaksa, W 1-0 v Sriwijaya FC.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2018: PSMS Medan 4-0 Persebaya Surabaya.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output