Triesen II v Vaduz III: the model read
Triesen II meet Vaduz III in the Cup round of 32. The model makes Vaduz III the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 27% TRI, 25% draw, 48% VAD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1461, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vaduz III, 41% against 0%. Attacking output favors Vaduz III on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 93%, over 2.5 goals around 97%. Draw no bet leans Vaduz III at 64%; double chance reads Triesen II or draw 52%, Vaduz III or draw 73%.
Triesen II arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 6 scored and 38 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Balzers, L 2-3 @ Triesenberg II, L 0-8 v Triesenberg, L 0-18 v FC Vaduz.
Vaduz III are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 20 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Triesen, W 7-3 @ Ruggell III, W 5-1 @ Eschen / Mauren III, L 0-8 v Ruggell.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
