Mantova v Palermo: the model read
Mantova meet Palermo in the Serie B regular season - 7 at Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova. The model makes Palermo the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% MAN, 29% draw, 41% PAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Palermo on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Palermo at 58%; double chance reads Mantova or draw 59%, Palermo or draw 70%.
Mantova arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Frosinone, W 3-2 v Monza, W 3-0 @ Sudtirol, L 0-2 v Avellino.
Palermo are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v 1. FC Nürnberg, W 7-0 v Paradiso, L 0-1 @ FC Ingolstadt 04, W 2-0 v Catanzaro.
Palermo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Palermo 2-1 Mantova.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
