Ascoli v Avellino: the model read
Ascoli meet Avellino in the Serie B regular season - 5 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca, Ascoli Piceno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ascoli, 66% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ascoli on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Ascoli at 61%; double chance reads Ascoli or draw 72%, Avellino or draw 57%.
Ascoli arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Carrarese, W 2-1 @ Hellas Verona, L 1-4 @ Genoa, W 3-1 v Potenza.
Avellino are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Vicenza Virtus, L 1-2 v Arezzo, L 0-3 @ Monza, D 1-1 v Torino.
Ascoli hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2018: Ascoli 1-1 Avellino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
