Where the market is wrong on IFK Umeå v Friska Viljor
IFK Umeå meet Friska Viljor in the Division 2 - Norrland norrland - relegation round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Friska Viljor, 48% against 15%. Attacking output favors Friska Viljor on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
IFK Umeå arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 6 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Friska Viljor, L 1-5 v Umeå FC Akademi, L 0-4 @ Umea FF, L 1-2 v Storfors.
Friska Viljor are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ IFK Umeå, L 1-4 v Umea FF, L 0-2 v Sirius, W 2-0 v Storfors.
Friska Viljor hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IFK Umeå 2-3 Friska Viljor.
The market prices IFK at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on IFK Umeå: a 11.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
