Where the market is wrong on IFK Luleå v Kubikenborg
IFK Luleå meet Kubikenborg in the Division 2 - Norrland norrland - promotion round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors IFK Luleå on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Kubikenborg at 52%; double chance reads IFK Luleå or draw 63%, Kubikenborg or draw 65%.
IFK Luleå arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Kubikenborg, L 1-3 @ Skellefteå, L 0-1 v Boden, W 1-0 @ Gottne.
Kubikenborg are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ IFK Luleå, W 3-1 v Täfteå, W 3-1 @ Lucksta, L 0-2 @ IFK Östersund.
IFK Luleå hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IFK Luleå 1-3 Kubikenborg.
The market prices IFK at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Kubikenborg: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
