Bohemians v Longford Town: the model read
Bohemians meet Longford Town in the FAI Cup round of 16 at Dalymount Park, Dublin. The model makes Bohemians the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% BOH, 29% draw, 34% LON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 55%. Attacking output favors Bohemians on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Bohemians at 51%; double chance reads Bohemians or draw 66%, Longford Town or draw 64%.
Bohemians arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ballkani, D 0-0 @ St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 v St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 @ Drogheda United.
Longford Town are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Wexford, W 8-0 @ Baldoyle United, W 4-3 @ Cork City, W 2-1 v UCD.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
